4

Das Ist Alles Ally

4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 82

Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

19%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 21/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 74 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark21/01/2026 · OR 74 par21/01C8OR 74C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 12/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 77 · 1m1f Fm 119 · below its mark12/02/2026 · OR 77 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 01/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 82 · 1m Gd 119 · below its mark01/03/2026 · OR 82 par1/03C8OR 82C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 18/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 82 · 1m110y Fm 119 · below its mark18/03/2026 · OR 82 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 03/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 84 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark03/04/2026 · OR 84 par3/04C8OR 84C8 @ Gulfstream 08/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 81 · 1m70y Fas 126 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 81 parC8 @ Gulfstream 13/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 85 · 1m110y 123 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 85 par13/06C8OR 85C8 @ Gulfstream 25/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 83 · 1m110y Fas 123 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 83 parC5 @ Gulfstream 16/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 88 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 88 par16/08C5OR 88projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Gulfstream?6th3rd+3
2026-07-25Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-06-13Gulfstream?5th5th0
2026-05-08Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-04-03Tampa Bay Downs?6th6th0
2026-03-18Tampa Bay Downs?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0118/0313/0616/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength89%

Delivery trend -1.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/01/20264th8/158%67%+0.09
12/02/20265th16/116%56%+0.40
01/03/20262nd10/147%89%+0.42
18/03/20266th12/137%55%+0.18
03/04/20266th10/147%38%-0.10
08/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
13/06/20265th3/184%33%-0.51
25/07/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
16/08/20266th25/10%38%+0.38