Pocket Pair
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 82
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 12/03/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 17/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |