6

Terrie T

5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 76

Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 18/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 82 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark18/02/2026 · OR 82 par18/02C8OR 82C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 11/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 74 · 1m39y 119 · below its mark11/03/2026 · OR 74 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 27/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 77 · 1m110y 119 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 77 par27/03C8OR 77C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 04/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 78 · 1m39y 122 · below its mark04/04/2026 · OR 78 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 25/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 80 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 80 par25/04C8OR 80C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 02/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 78 · 6f110y Slo 123 · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 78 parC8 @ Gulfstream 19/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 72 · 1m70y 126 · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 72 par19/06C8OR 72C8 @ Gulfstream 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 73 · 1m Fas 126 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 73 parC5 @ Colonial Downs 09/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 83 · 1m Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 83 par9/08C5OR 83projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Colonial Downs?10th7th+3
2026-07-13Gulfstream?1st1st0
2026-06-19Gulfstream?2nd2nd0
2026-05-02Tampa Bay Downs?8th8th0
2026-04-25Tampa Bay Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-04-04Tampa Bay Downs?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/024/0419/069/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength51%

Delivery trend +1.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/02/20267th20/10%33%+0.33
11/03/20263rd9/153%78%+0.25
27/03/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
04/04/20262nd9/488%86%-0.02
25/04/20263rd9/153%71%+0.19
02/05/20268th15/261%22%-0.38
19/06/20262nd20/10%86%+0.86
13/07/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
09/08/202610th50/10%0%0.00