
Terrie T
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 76
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2026-07-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 11/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 22% | -0.38 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 09/08/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |