3
Tic Tic Tic Boom
8yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 87
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength58%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 03/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |