5
Caramel Blue
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 69
Gulfstream · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
90%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength81%
Delivery trend -9.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |