5
Awesome Train
5yo Gelding · 8-5
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Handicap · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 19/10/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 16/11/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 27/12/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 10/01/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 43% | -0.47 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 15/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |