3
Chrome Ghost
6yo Gelding · 8-8
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Handicap · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength70%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 14/11/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 26/12/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 07/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |