4
El Principito
5yo Gelding · 8-5
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Handicap · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 03/08/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 24/08/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 26/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 07/02/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 06/03/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 29/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |