2
Icelander
5yo Horse · 8-6
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Handicap · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength55%
Delivery trend +6.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 11/10/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/12/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 06/02/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |