6
John Hancock
4yo Gelding · 8-9
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Handicap · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-03-22 | Fair Grounds | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-02-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-01-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -17.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 08/02/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 22/03/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 62% | -0.17 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |