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9

Lightning Tones

6yo Gelding · 8-9

Gulfstream · Race 6 - Handicap · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Gulfstream 29/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 101 · 1m110y Fas 122 · beat its mark29/03/2025 · OR 101 par29/03C1OR 101C6 @ Gulfstream 17/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 103 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark17/05/2025 · OR 103 parC0 @ Gulfstream 30/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m110y 12230/08C?C0 @ Gulfstream 18/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m Fas 123C0 @ Gulfstream 16/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m110y Fas 12216/11C?C5 @ Gulfstream 10/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 103 · 1m110y Fas 122 · beat its mark10/01/2026 · OR 103 parC0 @ Gulfstream 24/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 104 · 1m1f Fas 123 · beat its mark24/01/2026 · OR 104 par24/01C?OR 104C1 @ Gulfstream 28/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 104 · 1m110y Fas 120 · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 104 parC0 @ Gulfstream 03/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m Fas 1233/07C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-03Gulfstream?7th7th0
2026-03-28Gulfstream?4th4th0
2026-01-24Gulfstream?7th7th0
2026-01-10Gulfstream?1st1st0
2025-11-16Gulfstream?3rd3rd0
2025-10-18Gulfstream?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0318/1024/013/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength53%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/20254th16/116%40%+0.24
17/05/20255th9/488%43%-0.45
30/08/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
18/10/20252nd5/174%86%+0.12
16/11/20253rd7/282%67%-0.15
10/01/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
24/01/20267th50/10%45%+0.45
28/03/20264th20/10%50%+0.50
03/07/20267th10/382%0%-0.82