7
Liberty Rings
2yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 76
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Hollywood Beach Stakes · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
78%
Place Prob
55%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |