3

Lord Henry

2yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 77

Gulfstream · Race 8 - Hollywood Beach Stakes · 5f

#7

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 5f Fm 12013/07C6C6 @ Gulfstream 10/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 75 · 7f110y Fm 120 · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 75 par10/08C6OR 75projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-10Gulfstream?1st3rd−2
2026-07-13Gulfstream?2nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0710/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength77%

Delivery trend +3.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20262nd4/179%80%+0.01
10/08/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05