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5

Road To Midnight

2yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 67

Gulfstream · Race 8 - Hollywood Beach Stakes · 5f

#5

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 20/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 4f110y Fas 12020/06C6C6 @ Gulfstream 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 66 · 5f Fm 120 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 66 par13/07C6OR 66C5 @ Gulfstream 10/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 77 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark10/08/2026 · OR 77 par10/08C5OR 77projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-10Gulfstream?5th5th0
2026-07-13Gulfstream?1st3rd−2
2026-06-20Gulfstream?6th8th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0613/0710/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +31.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/06/20266th11/486%17%-0.69
13/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
10/08/20265th14/126%20%-0.06