Jalapeno

3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 94

Gulfstream · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

24%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▬

Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 1.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C5.7

Today:

Class gap: -0.2

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-15	Gulfstream	?	1st	0th	+1	9.6
2026-07-18	Gulfstream	?	1st	2nd	−1	8.4
2026-06-13	Gulfstream	?	2nd	3rd	−1	7.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +21.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
13/06/2026	2nd	11/4	86%	80%	-0.06
18/07/2026	1st	13/8	91%	100%	+0.09
15/08/2026	1st	7/1	63%	100%	+0.37