3
Neshume
4yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 95
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength86%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 07/02/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 06/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 05/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 03/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |