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2

Radical Rhetoric

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 84

Gulfstream · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

60%

Place Prob

41%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 2.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 15/02/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m Fas 11815/02C6C6 @ Gulfstream 15/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 82 · 1m Fas 118 · beat its mark15/03/2025 · OR 82 par15/03C6OR 82C6 @ Gulfstream 19/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 85 · 1m Fas 118 · beat its mark19/04/2025 · OR 85 par19/04C6OR 85C6 @ Gulfstream 24/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 84 · 1m Fas 118 · beat its mark24/05/2025 · OR 84 par24/05C6OR 84projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-05-24Gulfstream?1st2nd−1
2025-04-19Gulfstream?2nd3rd−1
2025-03-15Gulfstream?2nd3rd−1
2025-02-15Gulfstream?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0215/0319/0424/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength28%

Delivery trend -12.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/02/20254th33/10%63%+0.63
15/03/20252nd4/179%80%+0.01
19/04/20252nd11/271%88%+0.16
24/05/20251st11/486%100%+0.14