8
Roar Of The Beast
4yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 96
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
11%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Gulfstream | BHA93 | 10th | 15th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 20/09/2025 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 13/12/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/02/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |