1
Roar Ready
5yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 89
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength36%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 04/01/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 31/01/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 29/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |