4
Wordondastreet
4yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 81
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2024 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/12/2024 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 14/11/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 13/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |