3
Centigrade
4yo Colt · 9-10 · OR 100
Haydock · William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap · 7f 212y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Sandown | 1 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-08-20 | York | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Southwell | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2024-10-25 | Newbury | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2024-08-30 | Sandown | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -16.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2024 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 25/10/2024 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 62% | -0.25 |
| 16/09/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |