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8

Checkandchallenge

7yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 96

Haydock · William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap · 7f 212y

#7

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't been seen to best effect on either start since finishing 4 lengths third in a solid York handicap in July. Given a chance by the handicapper following latest tardy start, though will need to be sharpened up by return of more severe headgear to end a long losing streak.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ York 23/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 108 · 1m177y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/08/2025 · OR 108 par23/081OR 1081 @ Haydock 06/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 107 · 1m37y Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/09/2025 · OR 107 par1 @ Goodwood 24/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 107 · 1m1f197y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/09/2025 · OR 107 par24/091OR 1072 @ Newbury 18/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 24 · OR 105 · 1m Goo 138 · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 105 par2 @ Newbury 16/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 104 · 1m Goo 137 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 104 par16/052OR 1042 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 28 · OR 102 · 1m GF 130 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 102 par2 @ York 11/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 100 · 7f192y Goo 137 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 100 par11/072OR 1002 @ York 20/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 99 · 7f192y GS 129 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 99 par2 @ Doncaster 12/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 17 · OR 99 · 1m Goo 134 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 99 par12/092OR 99projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Doncaster212th12th0
2026-08-20York214th14th0
2026-07-11York23rd3rd0
2026-06-17Royal Ascot210th10th0
2026-05-16Newbury26th6th0
2026-04-18Newbury210th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0818/0411/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength19%

Delivery trend -5.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20256th33/10%29%+0.29
06/09/20253rd40/10%75%+0.75
24/09/20259th22/10%20%+0.20
18/04/202610th28/10%61%+0.61
16/05/20266th11/142%64%+0.22
17/06/202610th33/10%67%+0.67
11/07/20263rd8/158%83%+0.25
20/08/202614th10/147%0%-0.47
12/09/202612th28/10%31%+0.31