5
Eternal Force
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 96
Haydock · William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap · 7f 212y
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | York | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hamilton | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Doncaster | 2 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Haydock | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Newbury | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 26/06/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 90% | +0.02 |
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 1/14 | 100% | 100% | +0.00 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 17/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 28/03/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 25/06/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 38% | -0.49 |
| 20/08/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 54% | +0.06 |