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2

Mister Winston

4yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 100

Haydock · William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap · 7f 212y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Free-going sort. On the up when successful at Newmarket/Epsom prior to having excuses in the Hunt Cup/Golden Mile. Shaped as though back in reasonable form when beaten 5 lengths at Doncaster (1m) last time and handicapper has at least offered a 2-lb reprieve.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Goodwood 24/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 94 · 1m Goo 135 · beat its mark24/08/2025 · OR 94 par24/083OR 942 @ Newmarket 27/09/2025 · Pos 15th of 23 · OR 94 · 1m1f GF 118 · beat its mark27/09/2025 · OR 94 par2 @ Newmarket 14/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 92 · 1m Gd 127 · beat its mark14/04/2026 · OR 92 par14/042OR 922 @ Newmarket 02/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 92 · 1m1f GF 130 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 92 par2 @ Epsom Downs 05/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 97 · 1m113y Goo 135 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 97 par5/062OR 972 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 23rd of 28 · OR 97 · 1m GF 130 · below its mark17/06/2026 · OR 97 par2 @ Goodwood 31/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 18 · OR 103 · 1m Goo 136 · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 103 par31/072OR 1032 @ Ascot 08/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 103 · 7f213y GF 138 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 103 par2 @ Doncaster 12/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR 102 · 1m Goo 137 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 102 par12/092OR 102projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Doncaster28th8th0
2026-08-08Ascot27th7th0
2026-07-31Goodwood214th14th0
2026-06-17Royal Ascot223th23th0
2026-06-05Epsom Downs21st1st0
2026-05-02Newmarket26th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/082/0531/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength83%

Delivery trend +2.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/08/20254th3/184%70%-0.14
27/09/202515th33/10%36%+0.36
14/04/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
02/05/20266th10/382%55%-0.28
05/06/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
17/06/202623rd16/116%19%+0.03
31/07/202614th22/10%24%+0.24
08/08/20267th9/153%33%-0.19
12/09/20268th40/10%56%+0.56