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3

King Of Light

4yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 94

Haydock · William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Took this 12 months ago and doubled his tally for present stable at Windsor (6f) in June. Back to form with fifth of 21 in Portland at Doncaster (5.5f, good) 2 weeks ago. Merits consideration once more eased 1 lb.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Goodwood 01/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 91 · 5f Gd 122 · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 91 par1/052OR 912 @ Epsom Downs 06/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 20 · OR 91 · 5f Goo 130 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 91 par2 @ Windsor 29/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 91 · 6f12y GF 133 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 91 par29/062OR 912 @ Ascot 11/07/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR 99 · 5f GF 134 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 99 par2 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 99 · 5f GF 137 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 99 par25/072OR 992 @ Goodwood 01/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 27 · OR 91 · 6f GF 127 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 91 par2 @ Windsor 10/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 97 · 6f12y GF 136 · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 97 par10/082OR 972 @ York 22/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 20 · OR 97 · 6f Goo 131 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 97 par2 @ Doncaster 12/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 21 · OR 95 · 5f143y Gd 130 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 95 par12/092OR 95projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Doncaster25th5th0
2026-08-22York214th14th0
2026-08-10Windsor26th6th0
2026-08-01Goodwood28th8th0
2026-07-25Ascot27th7th0
2026-07-11Ascot215th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0511/0710/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength96%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/05/20262nd12/137%90%+0.53
06/06/20265th11/271%79%+0.08
29/06/20261st17/255%100%+0.45
11/07/202615th9/153%0%-0.53
25/07/20267th12/137%50%+0.13
01/08/20268th33/10%73%+0.73
10/08/20266th7/282%67%-0.15
22/08/202614th16/116%32%+0.16
12/09/20265th11/142%80%+0.38