9

Zirconic

2yo Filly · 9-2

Haydock · British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 212y

#5

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showcasing filly took a step forward from her debut with fourth of 8 in novice at Leicester (7f, good) 18 days ago. Can progress again stepped up to 1m.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Newmarket 21/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f Goo 12821/0833 @ Leicester 08/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 7f GS 1288/093projClass-projected finish: 1st of 1
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Leicester34th4th0
2026-08-21Newmarket35th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength81%

Delivery trend +23.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/08/20265th25/10%33%+0.33
08/09/20264th25/10%57%+0.57