13

Dandy Magic

4yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 77

Haydock · Forever Our Mike Handicap · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Capitalised on reduced mark when opening her account for the season at Hamilton (6f) in August. Placed both subsequent starts, running a cracker when just touched off in 16-runner handicap at Doncaster (6f) 2 weeks ago. Mark has crept up further but versatile as regards ground and she's respected.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength35%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 24/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 74 · 6f Std 134 · below its mark24/02/2026 · OR 74 par24/025OR 744 @ Ayr 20/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 73 · 6f Sft 135 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 73 par4 @ Ayr 06/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR 71 · 6f Gd 128 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 71 par6/074OR 714 @ Carlisle 09/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 71 · 5f182y Goo 133 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 71 par3 @ Ayr 20/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 70 · 6f GF 121 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 70 par20/073OR 704 @ Ascot 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 70 · 5f GF 128 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 70 par4 @ Hamilton 11/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 69 · 6f6y Goo 119 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 69 par11/084OR 694 @ Hamilton 21/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 69 · 6f6y GS 134 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 69 par4 @ Doncaster 13/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 74 · 6f2y Gd 131 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 74 par13/094OR 74projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Doncaster42nd3rd−1
2026-08-21Hamilton43rd4th−1
2026-08-11Hamilton41st2nd−1
2026-07-24Ascot43rd4th−1
2026-07-20Ayr34th4th0
2026-07-09Carlisle44th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/029/0711/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength88%

Delivery trend +2.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/02/202610th11/271%18%-0.53
20/06/202610th20/10%31%+0.31
06/07/20264th25/10%81%+0.81
09/07/20264th2/189%57%-0.32
20/07/20264th8/158%63%+0.05
24/07/20263rd11/486%75%-0.11
11/08/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
21/08/20263rd4/179%78%-0.01
13/09/20262nd9/276%93%+0.17