2
Golden Long
6yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 90
Haydock · Forever Our Mike Handicap · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Doncaster | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Newmarket | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Newbury | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Windsor | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Yarmouth | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Southwell | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2024 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 24/11/2024 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 18/12/2024 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 18% | -0.56 |
| 20/02/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 11/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 60% | -0.30 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 11/06/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 14% | -0.68 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |