10
Miraculous
4yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 83
Haydock · Forever Our Mike Handicap · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Chester | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Doncaster | 4 | 14th | 15th | −1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Southwell | 5 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-08-21 | Hamilton | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Southwell | 5 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-25 | Chester | 4 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength38%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 25/07/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 06/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 89% | +0.26 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |
| 13/09/2026 | 14th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.52 |
| 19/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |