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6

Rousing Encore

6yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 85

Haydock · Forever Our Mike Handicap · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Scored twice in 2025 campaign and plenty of good efforts to his name this time around, running right up to his very best when second in last week's Ayr Bronze Cup (clear in near side group). Raised 3 lb on the back of that but conditions fine and this 6-y-o commands respect.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength48%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newmarket 15/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 88 · 6f Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/04/2026 · OR 88 par15/042OR 883 @ Doncaster 02/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 88 · 6f2y Goo 133 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 88 par2 @ York 13/05/2026 · Pos 15th of 22 · OR 87 · 6f Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 87 par13/052OR 873 @ Carlisle 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 86 · 5f182y Goo 131 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 86 par4 @ York 13/06/2026 · Pos 18th of 21 · OR 85 · 6f Goo 140 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 85 par13/064OR 854 @ Ayr 06/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR 84 · 6f Gd 141 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 84 par2 @ York 25/07/2026 · Pos 19th of 21 · OR 84 · 6f Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 84 par25/072OR 843 @ Ripon 03/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 83 · 6f Goo 129 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 83 par2 @ Ayr 18/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 24 · OR 82 · 6f Sft 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 82 par18/092OR 82projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Ayr22nd1st+1
2026-08-03Ripon35th5th0
2026-07-25York219th18th+1
2026-07-06Ayr43rd4th−1
2026-06-13York418th19th−1
2026-05-30Carlisle34th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0430/0525/0718/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength85%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/04/20265th18/15%67%+0.61
02/05/20265th6/168%20%-0.48
13/05/202615th12/137%33%-0.04
30/05/20264th12/137%77%+0.40
13/06/202618th10/147%15%-0.32
06/07/20263rd4/179%88%+0.09
25/07/202619th40/10%10%+0.10
03/08/20265th17/255%33%-0.22
18/09/20262nd9/153%96%+0.43