7
Zain Primus
3yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 87
Haydock · Forever Our Mike Handicap · 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | York | 2 | 17th | 16th | +1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Newcastle | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-06 | Kempton | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-19 | Newcastle | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 06/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 19/05/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 19/08/2026 | 17th | 8/1 | 58% | 11% | -0.47 |