1

Camarda Rc

2yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 84

Haydock · William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Nursery · 6f 212y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

77%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Really impressed when making a winning start in 7f novice at Epsom but failed to build on it when an odds-on second of 10 in novice at Windsor (1m, good to firm) last month, fading last 1f over longer trip. Well worth another chance back at 7f for his handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength29%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Epsom Downs 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f3y GF 13030/0742 @ Windsor 24/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m31y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS24/082projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Windsor22nd0th+2
2026-07-30Epsom Downs41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0724/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength34%

Delivery trend -41.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
24/08/20262nd4/596%89%-0.07