Kodiak Breeze

2yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 78

Haydock · William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Nursery · 6f 212y

#5

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▬

Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2

Recent avg: C4.3

Today: 4

Class gap: -0.2

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-20	York	2	17th	15th	+2	1.0
2026-07-01	Thirsk	5	1st	2nd	−1	7.8
2026-05-18	Redcar	5	1st	2nd	−1	7.8
2026-05-02	Thirsk	5	2nd	3rd	−1	6.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▬

Strength81%

Delivery trend -1.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
02/05/2026	2nd	13/2	66%	86%	+0.20
18/05/2026	1st	11/10	94%	100%	+0.06
01/07/2026	1st	6/4	92%	100%	+0.08
20/08/2026	17th	40/1	0%	16%	+0.16