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2

Mister Whippy

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 82

Haydock · William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Nursery · 6f 212y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has shaped with promise when in the frame on all his 3 runs, making his effort earlier than ideal when fourth of 8 in novice at Goodwood (1m, soft) last time. A player now going into nurseries.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength81%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Doncaster 23/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f6y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS23/0732 @ Newbury 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 7f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS15/0822 @ Goodwood 30/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 82 · 1m Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/08/2026 · OR 82 par30/082OR 82projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Goodwood24th2nd+2
2026-08-15Newbury22nd0th+2
2026-07-23Doncaster34th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0715/0830/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -43.9% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/07/20264th33/10%63%+0.63
15/08/20262nd10/382%92%+0.09
30/08/20264th10/382%57%-0.25