7
Persian Land
2yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 70
Haydock · William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Nursery · 6f 212y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength47%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Chester | 5 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-09-11 | Salisbury | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Southwell | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Beverley | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Ffos Las | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Haydock | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -14.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 04/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 16/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 19/09/2026 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |