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3

Trumpety Trump

2yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 80

Haydock · William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Nursery · 6f 212y

#7

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Got off the mark at the fourth attempt in 6f nursery at Hamilton in September. Failed to back it up when seventh of 13 in similar company at Ayr (6f, soft) 8 days ago. Bounce back is required.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength65%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Ayr 05/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 6f Gd 1335/0744 @ Hamilton 17/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 6f6y Goo 12817/0743 @ Hamilton 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 75 · 1m68y GS 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 75 par21/083OR 752 @ Hamilton 02/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 75 · 6f6y Sft 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 75 par2/092OR 752 @ Ayr 18/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 80 · 6f Sft 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 80 par18/092OR 80projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Ayr27th5th+2
2026-09-02Hamilton21st-1th+2
2026-08-21Hamilton32nd1st+1
2026-07-17Hamilton44th4th0
2026-07-05Ayr43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0717/0721/082/0918/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength82%

Delivery trend +2.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20263rd33/10%33%+0.33
17/07/20264th13/266%25%-0.41
21/08/20262nd12/137%50%+0.13
02/09/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
18/09/20267th5/174%50%-0.24