
Wolf Bay
2yo Colt · 9-3 · OR 78
Haydock · William Hill Price Boosts Every Day Nursery · 6f 212y
#2
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 7.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Windsor | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Goodwood | 2 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-07-09 | Newbury | 2 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +31.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 41% | +0.25 |
| 28/07/2026 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |