1

Dancing Dunes

2yo Colt · 9-2

Haydock · J&P Civil Engineering British EBF Maiden Stakes · 7f 212y

#5

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Torquator Tasso colt who has shaped with encouragement when fifth in a pair of novices at Sandown (7f) and over C&D this summer. Can do better for good yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Sandown 29/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 7f Goo 13029/0733 @ Haydock 03/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f212y Sft 1283/093projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Haydock35th5th0
2026-07-29Sandown35th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -20.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/07/20265th14/126%20%-0.06
03/09/20265th9/276%50%-0.26