Game Character

2yo Colt · 9-2

Haydock · J&P Civil Engineering British EBF Maiden Stakes · 7f 212y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read

Move▼1

Strength45%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 2

Recent avg: C2.0

Today: 3

Class gap: +1.0

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-12	Doncaster	2	3rd	2nd	+1	8.2
2026-08-21	York	2	5th	4th	+1	6.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -78.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
21/08/2026	5th	80/1	0%	69%	+0.69
12/09/2026	3rd	5/2	87%	78%	-0.09