9
Gentle Warrior
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 71
Haydock · William Hill Daily Winnings Boost Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
89%
Place Prob
71%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Chester | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-09-04 | Haydock | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Hamilton | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Carlisle | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Hamilton | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Nottingham | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength83%
Delivery trend +7.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 02/10/2025 | 5th | 10/11 | 95% | 33% | -0.62 |
| 04/04/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 85/40 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 01/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 04/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 12/09/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |