7

Sharp Move
4yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 76
Haydock · William Hill Daily Winnings Boost Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Haydock | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Sandown | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Southwell | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-11-20 | Newcastle | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-05-29 | Yarmouth | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength73%
Delivery trend +6.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2025 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 25% | -0.67 |
| 20/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 27/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 46% | +0.20 |
| 28/08/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 03/09/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |