Adios Marilyn

4yo Filly · 8-10

Laurel Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark

Move▼2

Strength15%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.8

Today:

Class gap: +1.8

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-20	Penn National	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-07-23	Colonial Downs	?	3rd	-1th	+4	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▼

Strength22%

Delivery trend -10.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
23/07/2026	3rd	16/1	16%	60%	+0.44
20/08/2026	5th	20/1	0%	33%	+0.33