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4

Appealing Girl

4yo Filly · 9-0

Laurel Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼3
Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 27/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS27/06C6C6 @ Colonial Downs 06/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 67 · 6f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 67 par6/08C6OR 67C6 @ Laurel Park 18/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS18/09C6projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Laurel Park?6th3rd+3
2026-08-06Colonial Downs?5th2nd+3
2026-06-27Laurel Park?6th3rd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/066/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/06/20266th33/10%17%+0.17
06/08/20265th40/10%50%+0.50
18/09/20266th16/116%38%+0.22