1

Tiz My Standards

3yo Filly · 8-6

Laurel Park · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength72%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 28/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 6f Slo 119 · HIGHER CLASS28/06C6C6 @ Colonial Downs 22/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 60 · 1m 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 60 par22/07C6OR 60C6 @ Colonial Downs 01/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 66 · 6f Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 66 par1/08C6OR 66C9 @ Colonial Downs 23/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 67 · 5f110y Fm 119 · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 67 par23/08C9OR 67C6 @ Charles Town 12/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 63 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 63 par12/09C6OR 63projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Charles Town?5th2nd+3
2026-08-23Colonial Downs?4th4th0
2026-08-01Colonial Downs?4th1st+3
2026-07-22Colonial Downs?5th2nd+3
2026-06-28Colonial Downs?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0622/071/0823/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength68%

Delivery trend -10.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/06/20264th20/10%40%+0.40
22/07/20265th33/10%20%+0.20
01/08/20264th50/10%67%+0.67
23/08/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
12/09/20265th10/147%33%-0.14