4
King Xisco
2yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 65
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -2.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-08-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-07-31 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-07-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 08/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |
| 13/09/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |