1
Rosebank Red
2yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 46
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
26%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength3%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-08-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 3-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
Delivery trend +35.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |