Cap Com
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 79
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-03-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-01-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 28/12/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/01/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/03/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |