2

Chico Charlie

6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 89

Laurel Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 02/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 89 · 1m39y 120 · below its mark02/01/2026 · OR 89 par2/01C8OR 89C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 21/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 86 · 1m110y Fas 123 · below its mark21/01/2026 · OR 86 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 05/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 87 · 1m39y Gd 123 · below its mark05/02/2026 · OR 87 par5/02C8OR 87C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 22/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 84 · 1m110y 123 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 15/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 89 · 1m39y 122 · below its mark15/04/2026 · OR 89 par15/04C8OR 89C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 24/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 84 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 03/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 88 · 1m110y Gd 118 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 88 par3/05C8OR 88C8 @ Colonial Downs 08/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 87 · 1m 123 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 87 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 29/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 86 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark29/08/2026 · OR 86 par29/08C8OR 86projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Colonial Downs?7th7th0
2026-08-08Colonial Downs?10th10th0
2026-05-03Tampa Bay Downs?4th4th0
2026-04-24Tampa Bay Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-04-15Tampa Bay Downs?5th5th0
2026-03-22Tampa Bay Downs?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0122/033/0529/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/01/20264th9/276%50%-0.26
21/01/20262nd10/147%91%+0.44
05/02/202610th3/184%0%-0.84
22/03/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
15/04/20265th6/168%56%-0.13
24/04/20262nd3/184%89%+0.05
03/05/20264th10/382%50%-0.32
08/08/202610th25/10%10%+0.10
29/08/20267th33/10%0%0.00