2

Chico Charlie
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 89
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Colonial Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 05/02/2026 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 22/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 15/04/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 56% | -0.13 |
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 08/08/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 29/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |