5

Tell 'em I'm Comin

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 76

Laurel Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Laurel Park 28/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 78 · 1m 126 · beat its mark28/02/2026 · OR 78 par28/02C9OR 78C7 @ Laurel Park 07/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 77 · 1m 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/03/2026 · OR 77 parC7 @ Laurel Park 27/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 81 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/03/2026 · OR 81 par27/03C7OR 81C7 @ Laurel Park 25/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 82 · 1m110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 82 parC5 @ Laurel Park 01/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 81 · 1m110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/05/2026 · OR 81 par1/05C5OR 81C7 @ Laurel Park 06/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 81 · 1m Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 81 parC8 @ Delaware Park 08/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 75 · 1m 122 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 75 par8/08C8OR 75C8 @ Delaware Park 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 73 · 1m110y Slo 122 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 73 parC8 @ Laurel Park 19/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 73 · 1m110y Fas 126 · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 73 par19/09C8OR 73projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Laurel Park?1st1st0
2026-08-22Delaware Park?1st1st0
2026-08-08Delaware Park?2nd2nd0
2026-06-06Laurel Park?5th4th+1
2026-05-01Laurel Park?5th2nd+3
2026-04-25Laurel Park?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0225/048/0819/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength96%

Delivery trend +3.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/02/20261st1/20100%100%+0.00
07/03/20264th15/261%40%-0.21
27/03/20264th12/137%25%-0.12
25/04/20263rd20/10%60%+0.60
01/05/20265th40/10%20%+0.20
06/06/20265th16/116%0%-0.16
08/08/20262nd7/163%86%+0.23
22/08/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
19/09/20261st6/168%100%+0.32