9

Davyjonz

5yo Horse · 8-11 · OR 89

Laurel Park · Race 3 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

82%

Place Prob

52%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Laurel Park 15/03/2024 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 80 · 1m110y Fas 124 · below its mark15/03/2024 · OR 80 par15/03C9OR 80C6 @ Laurel Park 08/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 82 · 5f110y Fm 126 · beat its mark08/06/2025 · OR 82 parC5 @ Laurel Park 27/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 86 · 5f110y Fm 123 · below its mark27/06/2025 · OR 86 par27/06C5OR 86C5 @ Laurel Park 12/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 88 · 6f Gd 123 · below its mark12/09/2025 · OR 88 parC5 @ Laurel Park 11/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 93 · 1m1f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 93 par11/10C5OR 93C5 @ Laurel Park 31/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 93 · 1m110y 123 · below its mark31/10/2025 · OR 93 parC5 @ Laurel Park 27/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 92 · 1m Gd 123 · beat its mark27/11/2025 · OR 92 par27/11C5OR 92C5 @ Laurel Park 20/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 90 · 7f 126 · below its mark20/12/2025 · OR 90 parC5 @ Laurel Park 23/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 91 · 1m 126 · below its mark23/01/2026 · OR 91 par23/01C5OR 91projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-01-23Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2025-12-20Laurel Park?4th4th0
2025-11-27Laurel Park?1st1st0
2025-10-31Laurel Park?2nd2nd0
2025-10-11Laurel Park?5th4th+1
2025-09-12Laurel Park?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0312/0927/1123/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength64%

Delivery trend +5.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/03/20243rd5/287%60%-0.27
08/06/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
27/06/20257th11/271%33%-0.38
12/09/20254th5/174%57%-0.17
11/10/20255th25/10%43%+0.43
31/10/20252nd13/266%75%+0.09
27/11/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
20/12/20254th6/168%50%-0.18
23/01/20263rd20/10%75%+0.75